“For God’s sake, this man cannot remain in power.” pronounced the United States. “Putin’s day will surely be numbered. He’ll lose power and he won’t get to choose his successor,” prophesized the United Kingdom.
Categoria: LabGRIMA Expert
Dynasty Democracy Trending by Julia Suryakusuma
Do you remember the prime time television series Dynasty that aired for nine seasons from 1981 to 1989? It was about the lives and loves of the wealthy Carrington family, headed by the powerful oil magnate Blake Carrington.
U.S. stance in Gaza paved the way for an increase in Iran’s geopolitical prominence by Charles Pennaforte [Modern Diplomacy]
All the prominence that Iran has been assuming, especially after the attacks on the Pakistani border in January using high-precision missiles, has a “sponsor”: Washington.
Taiwan — eleições e renovadas coreografias de ameaças chinesas por Paulo Antônio Pereira Pinto
“Em caso de ataque aéreo, permaneça calmo”, assim recomendava o convite, no ano 2000, por ocasião da posse do líder independentista Chen Shui-Bian, eleito como a “maior autoridade na ilha Taiwan”. Na condição de Diretor do Escritório Comercial, em Taipé, recebi a nota de cortesia com a advertência de que, durante a cerimônia, poderia haver …
Inevitability of the African Century? Afro-Asian Infrastructure and Transport Corridors by Lorenzo Somigli
The world has undergone a profound transformation, and a new geopolitical phase has started. The edges of the Rimland (Ukraine, Balkans, Caucasus, Middle East, Myanmar, western Indian subcontinent, sporadically Central Asia and possibly Korean peninsula) is on fire; something momentous is about to happen. While Eurasia hindered, African people must be able to seize the opportunity …
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- America and the Gulf Still Need Each OtherHow U.S. partnerships can survive the war in Iran.
- Why China WaitsBeijing is playing a long game on Taiwan.
- Why Japan and South Korea Won’t Go NuclearAmerica still needs to worry about proliferation in East Asia.
Analytics
- Limits of Soft Power: How Russia’s Approval Ratings in Its Neighbourhood Are ShapedHigh approval ratings abroad are a valuable foreign policy asset, but should not be an end in themselves. Moreover, as the contrasting examples of Central Asia and the Balkans demonstrate, such ratings arise not from the projection of soft power, but through effective economic integration in one case and a strong historical memory in the […]
- Will an Anti-Turkish Alliance in the Eastern Mediterranean Lead Turkey to Strengthen Ties with Russia?The recent prospect of a military alliance between Greece, Israel and Cyprus introduces a new variable into the Eastern Mediterranean security equation. Such an arrangement, even if initially limited, will inevitably be perceived by Turkey as an attempt at strategic encirclement. The consequences of this perception may extend well beyond the immediate theatre.
- Parting With the Trump IllusionsAs the Iran crisis drags on and the United States abandons all pretense of compliance with international norms and rules, it is becoming clear that Trump’s promise of putting an end to “forever wars” has not been kept. Now, hopes for restraint in US foreign policy are fading away—Oleg Barabanov, Valdai Club Programme Director, waves […]
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