{"id":543,"date":"2016-08-26T08:32:15","date_gmt":"2016-08-26T11:32:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wp.ufpel.edu.br\/economia\/?p=543"},"modified":"2016-08-26T08:32:15","modified_gmt":"2016-08-26T11:32:15","slug":"quanto-custa-fechar-o-canal-de-suez","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wp.ufpel.edu.br\/economia\/2016\/08\/26\/quanto-custa-fechar-o-canal-de-suez\/","title":{"rendered":"Quanto custa fechar o Canal de Suez?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Em 05\/06\/1967, o Oriente M\u00e9dio presenciou o in\u00edcio de uma guerra conhecida como a <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Six-Day_War\" target=\"_blank\"><em>Guerra dos Seis Dias<\/em><\/a>. Durante a guerra:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>On 5 June 1967, at the beginning of the Six Day War, Egypt closed the Suez Canal. The closure was sudden and unexpected \u2013 fifteen cargo ships known as &#8220;The Yellow Fleet&#8221;&#8216; were trapped inside during the closure. At the end of the war, the Egyptian and Israeli armies were stationed on either side of the canal and the prospects for reopening were very uncertain. The canal remained closed until the end of a second conflict \u2013 the Yom Kippur War \u2013 and subsequent peace negotiations, eight years later.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>A pergunta de qualquer economista, claro, \u00e9: quanto isto custou? O autor do <a href=\"http:\/\/voxeu.org\/article\/1967-75-suez-canal-closure-lessons-trade\" target=\"_blank\">texto do qual retirei o trecho acima<\/a>, James Feyrer, fez exatamente esta mesma pergunta. A resposta?<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>This column presents new evidence from a natural experiment \u2013 the 1967-1975 closure of the Suez Canal. Results suggest that a 10% decrease in ocean distance results in a 5% increase in trade. Also, it estimates that every dollar of increased trade raises income by about 25 cents.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Acha isso pouco ou muito? Bem, veja o que ele encontrou para alguns pa\u00edses importantes no que diz respeito ao transporte de produtos pelo Canal de Suez, na \u00e9poca.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/voxeu.org\/sites\/default\/files\/image\/feyrer%20tbl%201.JPG\" width=\"418\" height=\"314\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Um aumento de, digamos, 10%, na dist\u00e2ncia percorrida na \u00e9poca, em que provavelmente a oferta de meios de transporte era menos el\u00e1stica do que hoje (porque haviam menos meios alternativos de transporte), n\u00e3o deve ter sido um aumento &#8220;insignificante&#8221;, n\u00e3o?<\/p>\n<p>p.s. A prop\u00f3sito, \u00e9 importante, paga quem gotsta do tema, ler um pouco sobre os <a href=\"http:\/\/press.princeton.edu\/chapters\/s9383.html\" target=\"_blank\"><em>conteiners<\/em><\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Em 05\/06\/1967, o Oriente M\u00e9dio presenciou o in\u00edcio de uma guerra conhecida como a Guerra dos Seis Dias. Durante a guerra: On 5 June 1967, at the beginning of the Six Day War, Egypt closed the Suez Canal. The closure was sudden and unexpected \u2013 fifteen cargo ships known as &#8220;The Yellow Fleet&#8221;&#8216; were trapped [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":600,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[87,86,21,85],"class_list":["post-543","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-noticias","tag-conteiners","tag-custo-beneficio","tag-economia-aplicada","tag-guerra-dos-seis-dias"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.ufpel.edu.br\/economia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/543","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.ufpel.edu.br\/economia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.ufpel.edu.br\/economia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.ufpel.edu.br\/economia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/600"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.ufpel.edu.br\/economia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=543"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/wp.ufpel.edu.br\/economia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/543\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":545,"href":"https:\/\/wp.ufpel.edu.br\/economia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/543\/revisions\/545"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.ufpel.edu.br\/economia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=543"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.ufpel.edu.br\/economia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=543"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.ufpel.edu.br\/economia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=543"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}